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How many copies did The Cursed Forest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 26k–42k
$99k–$266k after Steam's cut $180k–$409k before Steam's cut
from 892 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Cursed Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Cursed Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.9M–11.3M
best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)
Games like The Cursed Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 7.9M–11.3M copies

≈ $81.8M–$109.5M after Steam's cut

from ~176k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Exploration (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Open World + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
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203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
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176k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person

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