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How big is Hanako: Honor & Blade?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 6k–10k
from 238 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hanako: Honor & Blade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hanako: Honor & Blade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 859k–1.9M
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like Hanako: Honor & Blade

A typical game among these

≈ 859k–1.9M copies

≈ $5.5M–$17.6M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Third Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action + Third Person + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
MADNESS: Project Nexus
2021
Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GoreBeat 'em up
Dungeon Defenders
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
205k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Necesse
2025
Est. copies
≈ 727k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
204k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KAction

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