How much revenue did Mini Ninjas make?

$838k–$2.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mini Ninjas sell?

Q: How many copies did Mini Ninjas sell?

305k to 496k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 305k–496k; $838k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mini Ninjas and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mini Ninjas's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–4.1M

best case 13.5M (Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition)

Games like Mini Ninjas

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–4.1M copies

≈ $30.5M–$55.8M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition at ≈ 10.3M–16.7M copies, ≈ $169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 28k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 49k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Ninja (6 of 8) and Hack and Slash (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Ninja, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Third Person + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthStrategy
Nioh: Complete Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	39k reviews Mostly Positive	Souls-likeAction
Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $39.8M–$106.9M after Steam's cut $72.3M–$164.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	97k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.8M–$55.8M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$85.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	91k reviews Very Positive	AnimeFighting
Ghostrunner 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	ActionCyberpunk
NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.5M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	57k reviews Very Positive	AnimeMultiplayer
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10.3M–16.7M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	357k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Souls-likeDifficult