How much revenue did Magic Frog make?

$381–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Magic Frog sell?

Q: How many copies did Magic Frog sell?

347 to 564 copies, based on its 14 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 347–564; $381–$1k after Steam's cut $692–$2k before Steam's cut; from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magic Frog and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magic Frog's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 121k–216k

best case 299k (Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy)

Games like Magic Frog

A typical game among these

≈ 121k–216k copies

≈ $681k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy at ≈ 228k–371k copies, ≈ $439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 3k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Score Attack (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Anime, priced around $7.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 228k–371k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$6.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellAnime
Typomancer in the Feather's Way 2021	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	21 reviews Positive	TypingSpelling
Astro Attack 2024	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before Steam's cut	$2.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	Shoot 'Em UpScore Attack
Greedland 2025	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $300k–$807k after Steam's cut $545k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$12.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite Bullet Hell
BATTLE ARENA: Robot Apocalypse 2021	Est. copies ≈ 372–605 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $101–$272 after Steam's cut $184–$419 before Steam's cut	$0.99	15 reviews Positive	Arena ShooterHero Shooter
BLACK BIRD 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut	$18.99	108 reviews Very Positive	Shoot 'Em UpDark Fantasy
TEVI 2023	Est. copies ≈ 101k–164k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $832k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaAnime
UKI-UKI-TENGOKU2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	10 reviews Positive	Side ScrollerAction