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How many copies did Last Stretch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Last Stretch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Stretch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 550k–1.6M
best case 3.3M (Mirror's Edge™)
Games like Last Stretch

A typical game among these

≈ 550k–1.6M copies

≈ $4.9M–$13.4M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Bullet Hell (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mirror's Edge™ at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 835 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (3 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Parkour, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FAR: Lone Sails
2018
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericAdventure
Aliens: Dark Descent
2023
Est. copies
≈ 469k–763k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAction
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
D'LIRIUM
2023
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $70k–$159k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Top-Down ShooterAction-Adventure
Tiny Rogues
2022
Est. copies
≈ 267k–435k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Mustache in Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$2.99
73 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Road Doom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
56 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Dawngrown
2023
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$776–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
19 reviews
Positive
ShortEmotional

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