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How many copies did Dawngrown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$776–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dawngrown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawngrown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 335–83k
best case 3.4M (Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons)
Games like Dawngrown

A typical game among these

≈ 335–83k copies

≈ $324–$29k after Steam's cut

from ~459 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 254 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Short (8 of 8) and Emotional (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Emotional, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
90x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Many Nights a Whisper
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$2.99
744 reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure
Sword and Space
2021
Est. copies
≈ 0
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$4.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
Dynamic NarrationStory Rich
Last Stretch
2025
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut
$0.99
11 reviews
Positive
ShortIndie
Christmas Celebration With Sakuya Izayoi
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut
$3.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
AnimeCasual
The Psychiatrist: Major Depression
2019
Est. copies
≈ 202–328
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$277–$745 after Steam's cut $504–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
IndieCasual
9.03m
2013
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieShort
Sakuya Izayoi Gives You Advice And Dabs
2020
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.