How many copies did 404Sight sell?

87k to 141k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did 404Sight make?

404Sight is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is 404Sight?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 87k–141k; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 404Sight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 404Sight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–5.7M

best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)

Games like 404Sight

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–5.7M copies

≈ $12.3M–$33.7M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut	$7.99	83k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorDifficult
BONEWORKS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Very Positive	VRPhysics
SpeedRunners 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerRacing
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Ultimate Chicken Horse 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	54k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerParty
Outlast 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	65k reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.4M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	140k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
A Story About My Uncle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	AdventureFirst-Person