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How many copies did Koi-Koi Japan [Hanafuda playing cards] sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 57k–93k
$157k–$422k after Steam's cut $285k–$649k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Koi-Koi Japan [Hanafuda playing cards] and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Koi-Koi Japan [Hanafuda playing cards]'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 946k–2.5M
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Koi-Koi Japan [Hanafuda playing cards]

A typical game among these

≈ 946k–2.5M copies

≈ $9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Trading Card Game (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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