How much revenue did Valley make?

$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Valley sell?

Q: How many copies did Valley sell?

279k to 453k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 279k–453k; $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Valley and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 240k–921k

best case 3.3M (Mirror's Edge™)

Games like Valley

A typical game among these

≈ 240k–921k copies

≈ $1.8M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror's Edge™ at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Parkour, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 174k–283k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	SimulationParkour
Hot Lava 2019	Est. copies ≈ 178k–289k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Mirror's Edge™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureParkour
Skotos 2021	Est. copies ≈ 670–1k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	27 reviews Mixed	Precision Platformer3D Platformer
NaissanceE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 250k–406k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationIndie
Hatch 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$2.99	94 reviews Very Positive	First-PersonIndie
Echo Point Nova 2024	Est. copies ≈ 199k–323k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSShooter
Refunct 2015	Est. copies ≈ 852k–1.4M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$2.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer