How much revenue did Punch Club make?

$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Punch Club sell?

Q: How many copies did Punch Club sell?

658k to 1.1M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 658k–1.1M; $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Punch Club and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Punch Club's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 53k–115k

best case 883k (Turmoil)

Games like Punch Club

A typical game among these

≈ 53k–115k copies

≈ $269k–$440k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Turmoil at ≈ 673k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 651 reviews in their first month; the range was 252 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Management (8 of 8) and Time Management (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Time Management + Management, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Job Simulator + Mining + Resource Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Secret of the Magic Crystals 2010	Est. copies ≈ 105k–170k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $144k–$386k after Steam's cut $261k–$594k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Time ManagementManagement
Coffee Caravan 2024	Est. copies ≈ 37k–60k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $122k–$329k after Steam's cut $222k–$506k before Steam's cut	$11.99	1k reviews Very Positive	ManagementCooking
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2021	Est. copies ≈ 36k–59k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $248k–$666k after Steam's cut $451k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsFootball (Soccer)
Lemon Cake 2021	Est. copies ≈ 51k–83k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$876k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	SimulationCasual
Recycling Center Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 74k–120k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $405k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $737k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	First-PersonSimulation
Papa's Pizzeria Deluxe 2024	Est. copies ≈ 93k–150k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $152k–$410k after Steam's cut $277k–$631k before Steam's cut	$5.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CookingSimulation
Papa's Freezeria Deluxe 2023	Est. copies ≈ 331k–538k 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $546k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $992k–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$5.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CookingTime Management
Turmoil 2016	Est. copies ≈ 673k–1.1M 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut	$12.99	16k reviews Very Positive	ManagementMining