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How big is AdventureQuest 3D?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 242k–393k
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid AdventureQuest 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including AdventureQuest 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 131k–1.5M
best case 20.7M (Monster Hunter: World)
Games like AdventureQuest 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 131k–1.5M copies

≈ $31.6M–$144.5M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Monster Hunter: World at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 529 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and MMORPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Open World, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Diablo® IV
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.8M–$72.1M after Steam's cut $48.8M–$111.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
79k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGHack and Slash
Tree of Savior (English Ver.)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGAnime
Inferna
2019
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
518k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Ni no Kuni™ II: Revenant Kingdom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 339k–552k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$79.98
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Zenith: Nexus
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–181k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessVR
MilMo
2018
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
692 reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to Play3D Platformer
Book of Yog Idle RPG
2022
Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Mixed
AdventureMassively Multiplayer

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