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How many copies did The Chosen RPG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 51k–84k
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $51k–$116k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Chosen RPG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Chosen RPG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–4.6M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like The Chosen RPG

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–4.6M copies

≈ $4.0M–$38.2M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and Mature (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Anime, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.