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How many copies did Skautfold: Shrouded in Sanity sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$61k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
from 537 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Skautfold: Shrouded in Sanity and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Skautfold: Shrouded in Sanity's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–126k
best case 148k (Hellpoint)
Games like Skautfold: Shrouded in Sanity

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–126k copies

≈ $9k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~270 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hellpoint at ≈ 112k–183k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 29 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Souls-like (5 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Sci-fi, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hellpoint
2020
Est. copies
≈ 112k–183k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeSci-fi
Eruption 爆发
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
38 reviews
Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Grim Quest - Old School RPG
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$5.99
156 reviews
Very Positive
FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction
2011
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Negative
Psychological HorrorCombat Racing
Vigil: The Longest Night
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $997k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$21.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Skautfold: Usurper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$9.99
343 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie
HINGE VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut
$19.99
197 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRHorror
Chaos
2020
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$122–$326 after Steam's cut $221–$502 before Steam's cut
$0.99
18 reviews
Mostly Positive

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