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How many copies did Job Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 228k–370k
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Job Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Job Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–4.3M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like Job Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–4.3M copies

≈ $40.1M–$55.9M after Steam's cut

from ~85k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Anime. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Anime + Memes; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rec Room
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Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
84k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayVR
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.0M after Steam's cut $67.6M–$153.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
72k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics

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