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How big is One Dark Night?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–6k
from 94 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid One Dark Night and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including One Dark Night's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 160k–1.1M
best case 2.8M (SteamVR)
Games like One Dark Night

A typical game among these

≈ 160k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.9M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SteamVR at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Software.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 134k–218k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
VRHorror
Google Earth VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 173k–281k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
VRFree to Play
X-Plane 11
2017
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut $10.5M–$23.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Hand Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
theBlu
2016
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Rick and Morty: Virtual Rick-ality
2017
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$717k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureVR
Job Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 228k–370k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive

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