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How many copies did Syberia 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 165k–269k
$682k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Syberia 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Syberia 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 315k–730k
best case 1.5M (Fran Bow)
Games like Syberia 3

A typical game among these

≈ 315k–730k copies

≈ $992k–$3.3M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fran Bow at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 712 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Point & Click (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deponia
2012
Est. copies
≈ 930k–1.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Twelve Minutes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 201k–327k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAdventure
Syberia
2011
Est. copies
≈ 432k–702k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$12.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Rusty Lake: Roots
2016
Est. copies
≈ 384k–624k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$421k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $766k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$3.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Cube Escape Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 199k–324k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$273k–$735k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
The Tiny Bang Story
2011
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
Fran Bow
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Roottrees are Dead
2025
Est. copies
≈ 253k–411k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryPuzzle

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