How many copies did NEKOPALIVE sell?

62k to 101k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did NEKOPALIVE make?

NEKOPALIVE is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is NEKOPALIVE?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 62k–101k; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NEKOPALIVE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NEKOPALIVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.8M

best case 12.2M (VRChat)

Games like NEKOPALIVE

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.8M copies

≈ $9.4M–$28.6M after Steam's cut

from ~82k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is VR (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (3 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Anime.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm
SteamVR unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	87k reviews Very Positive	VRSoftware
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
Golf With Your Friends 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	76k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
We Were Here 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	33k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCo-op