How much revenue did Absolver make?

$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Absolver sell?

Q: How many copies did Absolver sell?

510k to 828k copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 510k–828k; $4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Absolver and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Absolver's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 110k–2.4M

best case 2.6M (Street Fighter™ 6)

Games like Absolver

A typical game among these

≈ 110k–2.4M copies

≈ $1.0M–$42.8M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Street Fighter™ 6 at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 336 to 48k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Martial Arts (6 of 8) and Fighting (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Fighting, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sleeping Dogs unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 428k–696k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Street Fighter™ 6 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	80k reviews Very Positive	2D FighterFighting
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.6M–$66.2M after Steam's cut $44.7M–$101.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$66.8M after Steam's cut $45.2M–$102.8M before Steam's cut	$49.99	73k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction
Overgrowth 2017	Est. copies ≈ 313k–509k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	ActionParkour
Lugaru HD 2010	Est. copies ≈ 38k–62k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $105k–$281k after Steam's cut $190k–$433k before Steam's cut	$9.99	603 reviews Mostly Positive	Action3D Fighter
Shenmue I & II 2018	Est. copies ≈ 99k–161k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $819k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AdventureOpen World
Shenmue III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $291k–$783k after Steam's cut $529k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureAction