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How big is 1943 Berlin Blitz?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 10k–16k
from 321 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 1943 Berlin Blitz and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 1943 Berlin Blitz's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5k
best case 28k (Britannic: Patroness of the Mediterranean)
Games like 1943 Berlin Blitz

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–5k copies

≈ $7k–$24k after Steam's cut

from ~85 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Britannic: Patroness of the Mediterranean at ≈ 21k–34k copies, ≈ $87k–$233k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 342.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Education (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Historical, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Walking Simulator + Experience + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Britannic: Patroness of the Mediterranean
2020
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
10.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$87k–$233k after Steam's cut $158k–$359k before Steam's cut
$14.99
849 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
VR Battleship YAMATO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before Steam's cut
$44.99
85 reviews
Very Positive
CasualVR
Buzludzha VR
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$11.99
48 reviews
Positive
IndieAdventure
The Book of Distance
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
188 reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionVR
Go For Launch: Mercury
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$9.99
73 reviews
Very Positive
VRSpace Sim
Nefertari: Journey to Eternity
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
236 reviews
Very Positive
Colosseum VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$651–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
48 reviews
Positive
CasualVR
Great Paintings VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
115 reviews
Very Positive
CasualVR

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