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How many copies did Princess Maker 2 Refine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 72k–117k
$395k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $718k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Princess Maker 2 Refine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Princess Maker 2 Refine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 172k–530k
best case 1.6M (Volcano Princess)
Games like Princess Maker 2 Refine

A typical game among these

≈ 172k–530k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Volcano Princess at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 69 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Multiple Endings, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Life Sim + RPG + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Class of '09: The Re-Up
2023
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$489k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $890k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelFemale Protagonist
BAD END THEATER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
Hatoful Boyfriend
2014
Est. copies
≈ 425k–690k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim
one night, hot springs
2018
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel
Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel
2017
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayOtome
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
Long Live The Queen
2013
Est. copies
≈ 453k–736k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelPolitical Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.