How much revenue did LOST SPHEAR make?

$90k–$243k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did LOST SPHEAR sell?

Q: How many copies did LOST SPHEAR sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 216 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut; from 216 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LOST SPHEAR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LOST SPHEAR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 334k–836k

best case 2.9M (Persona 4 Golden)

Games like LOST SPHEAR

A typical game among these

≈ 334k–836k copies

≈ $4.7M–$14.7M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 4 Golden at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share JRPG (8 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
FINAL FANTASY VII unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 754k–1.2M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	30k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
FINAL FANTASY IX 2016	Est. copies ≈ 598k–971k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut	$20.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Chained Echoes 2022	Est. copies ≈ 205k–333k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	8k reviews Very Positive	RPGPixel Graphics
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel 2017	Est. copies ≈ 204k–332k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	6k reviews Very Positive	JRPGAnime
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
DRAGON QUEST® XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age™ - Digital Edition of Light 2018	Est. copies ≈ 271k–441k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
OCTOPATH TRAVELER II 2023	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	18k reviews Very Positive	RPGTurn-Based