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How many copies did Seabed Prelude sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 241–391
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Seabed Prelude and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Seabed Prelude's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.5M–39.0M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Seabed Prelude

A typical game among these

≈ 12.5M–39.0M copies

≈ $99.2M after Steam's cut

from ~269k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 106.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$85k–$230k after Steam's cut $155k–$354k before Steam's cut
$19.99
627 reviews
Mostly Positive
CombatOpen World
Golf Pool VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$9.99
24 reviews
Mixed
CasualPool
Cave Digger VR
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $105k–$239k before Steam's cut
$19.90
348 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureVR
A Rogue Escape
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$19.99
53 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRExploration
SYNTHSPACE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$29.99
37 reviews
Positive
Early AccessSimulation

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