How much revenue did Nelo make?

$7k–$19k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nelo sell?

Q: How many copies did Nelo sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 149 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut; from 149 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nelo and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Nelo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–4.4M

best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like Nelo

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–4.4M copies

≈ $70k–$50.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 197 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Fast-Paced (5 of 7) and Character Action Game (3 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Vanquish 2017	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ActionThird-Person Shooter
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.1M–9.9M 31x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	245k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Ghostrunner 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 8.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	ActionCyberpunk
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
TERRORHYTHM (TRRT) - Rhythm driven action beat 'em up! 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut	$19.99	80 reviews Mostly Positive	Beat 'em upRhythm
Helheim 2019	Est. copies ≈ 778–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$9.99	27 reviews Mixed	IndieAction
REAVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $62k–$168k after Steam's cut $113k–$258k before Steam's cut	$13.99	653 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessArena Shooter