How much revenue did Gray Skies, Dark Waters make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gray Skies, Dark Waters sell?

Q: How many copies did Gray Skies, Dark Waters sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 37 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut; from 37 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gray Skies, Dark Waters and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gray Skies, Dark Waters's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–151k

best case 3.5M (Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice)

Games like Gray Skies, Dark Waters

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–151k copies

≈ $6k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~878 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies, ≈ $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 4k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (7 of 8) and Mythology (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological + Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M 87x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericPsychological
Through the Woods 2016	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $385k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $699k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureIndie
Apsulov: End of Gods 2019	Est. copies ≈ 49k–80k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $272k–$730k after Steam's cut $494k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	AdventureHorror
Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga 2024	Est. copies ≈ 251k–407k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventurePsychological Horror
Dye The Bunny 2023	Est. copies ≈ 992–2k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $543–$1k after Steam's cut $987–$2k before Steam's cut	$1.99	40 reviews Positive	HorrorSurreal
Inkubus Sukkubus - She of a Thousand Names 2023	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $509–$1k after Steam's cut $925–$2k before Steam's cut	$24.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	CollectathonHidden Object
Code Alkonost: Awakening of Evil 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut	$15.99	43 reviews Mostly Positive	Female ProtagonistPuzzle
Heart Of Altai 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$7.99	73 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAdventure