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How many copies did Rend sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–73k
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rend and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rend's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.8M–22.1M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Rend

A typical game among these

≈ 14.8M–22.1M copies

≈ $92.8M–$243.2M after Steam's cut

from ~413k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Third-Person Shooter + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Raft
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Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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379k reviews
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SurvivalMultiplayer
DayZ
2018
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≈ 14.3M–23.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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SurvivalOpen World
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Unturned
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≈ 19.4M–31.6M
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Free to PlaySurvival
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
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Free to PlayMultiplayer
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
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Hero ShooterFree to Play
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.