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How many copies did Oafmatch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 66 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oafmatch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oafmatch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 236k–629k
best case 881k (Darkest Dungeon® II)
Games like Oafmatch

A typical game among these

≈ 236k–629k copies

≈ $3.0M–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® II at ≈ 671k–1.1M copies, ≈ $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8) and Tactical RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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CRPGTactical RPG
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2.2x vs typical
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PuzzleMatch 3
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$39.99
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.