How much revenue did MachiaVillain make?

$135k–$364k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MachiaVillain sell?

Q: How many copies did MachiaVillain sell?

25k to 40k copies, based on its 810 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–40k; $135k–$364k after Steam's cut $246k–$560k before Steam's cut; from 810 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MachiaVillain and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MachiaVillain's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 46k–60k

best case 846k (Dungeons 3)

Games like MachiaVillain

A typical game among these

≈ 46k–60k copies

≈ $233k–$366k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Dungeons 3 at ≈ 644k–1.0M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 191 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (7 of 8) and Management (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Villain Protagonist + Management, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Evil Genius 2: World Domination 2021	Est. copies ≈ 329k–534k 9.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	13k reviews Mixed	StrategyBase-Building
Dungeons 2011	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $155k–$415k after Steam's cut $281k–$639k before Steam's cut	$9.99	890 reviews Mixed	StrategyRPG
Dungeons 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 644k–1.0M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyVillain Protagonist
Ruinarch 2023	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $242k–$651k after Steam's cut $440k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Mixed	God GameVillain Protagonist
Evil Genius 2009	Est. copies ≈ 228k–371k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $627k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingStrategy
Dungeons 2 2015	Est. copies ≈ 258k–419k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	StrategyManagement
War for the Overworld 2015	Est. copies ≈ 397k–645k 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerBase-Building
Buggos 2022	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation