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How many copies did Zolg sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 226 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zolg and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zolg's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–5.7M
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like Zolg

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–5.7M copies

≈ $34.9M–$78.9M after Steam's cut

from ~147k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 23k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (4 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $40.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Absence of Light
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
19 reviews
Positive
Vacant Kingdom
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$7.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
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Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$95–$255 after Steam's cut $173–$393 before Steam's cut
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7 user reviews
AdventureAction
UNDETECTED
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
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Est. copies
≈ 446–725
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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18 reviews
Positive
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