How much revenue did Pikuniku make?

$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pikuniku sell?

Q: How many copies did Pikuniku sell?

342k to 556k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 342k–556k; $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pikuniku and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pikuniku's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.5M

best case 38.8M (Portal 2)

Games like Pikuniku

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.5M copies

≈ $11.1M–$31.0M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
Liar's Bar 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	56k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
DEVOUR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	88k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.5M after Steam's cut $30.1M–$68.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	48k reviews Very Positive	LEGOAdventure