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How many copies did Winexy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$26k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$109k before Steam's cut
from 557 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Winexy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winexy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 108k–146k
best case 181k (Moncage)
Games like Winexy

A typical game among these

≈ 108k–146k copies

≈ $444k–$846k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Moncage at ≈ 138k–224k copies, ≈ $568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 471 reviews in their first month; the range was 302 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Management (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Drama, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fly Corp
2023
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$350k–$941k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
TransportationCasual
[Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件
2022
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$132k–$354k after Steam's cut $239k–$544k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSimulation
ABRISS - build to destroy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before Steam's cut
$14.99
569 reviews
Very Positive
MinimalistLogic
Masterplan Tycoon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut
$11.99
748 reviews
Mostly Positive
Resource ManagementManagement
Mars Power Industries Deluxe
2019
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before Steam's cut
$5.99
689 reviews
Very Positive
WholesomeResource Management
Moncage
2021
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
aMAZE
2017
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
$1.99
881 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle2D
Wayout
2016
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.