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How many copies did Cart Racer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–61k
$21k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$85k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cart Racer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cart Racer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 146k–265k
best case 907k (Garfield Kart)
Games like Cart Racer

A typical game among these

≈ 146k–265k copies

≈ $507k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Nudity (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garfield Kart at ≈ 691k–1.1M copies, ≈ $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Nudity (3 of 8) and Racing (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with LEGO + Open World, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LEGO® City Undercover
2017
Est. copies
≈ 397k–645k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOOpen World
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$524k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $953k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAction
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
NEKOPARA Vol. 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 414k–672k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiSexual Content
FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction
2011
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Negative
Psychological HorrorCombat Racing
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 490k–796k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D
OMON Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $47k–$107k before Steam's cut
$0.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
NuditySimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.