How much revenue did Ooblets make?

$318k–$856k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ooblets sell?

Q: How many copies did Ooblets sell?

39k to 63k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 39k–63k; $318k–$856k after Steam's cut $579k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ooblets and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ooblets's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.6M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Ooblets

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.6M copies

≈ $11.7M–$14.5M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 43k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Crafting (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Relaxing + Pixel Graphics + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 26x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya 2021	Est. copies ≈ 815k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$5.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	45k reviews Very Positive	CraftingSingleplayer
Forager 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.0M–$18.8M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
My Time at Sandrock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 722k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut $14.4M–$32.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Life SimBuilding