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How many copies did Duel on Board sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Duel on Board and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Duel on Board's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.5M
best case 2.6M (Street Fighter™ 6)
Games like Duel on Board

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.5M copies

≈ $15.6M–$24.4M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Street Fighter™ 6 at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 330 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (8 of 8) and Competitive (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Fighting, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

THE KING OF FIGHTERS XIII STEAM EDITION
2013
Est. copies
≈ 670k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
MELTY BLOOD: TYPE LUMINA
2021
Est. copies
≈ 264k–428k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
Pocket Bravery
2023
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$101k–$271k after Steam's cut $183k–$416k before Steam's cut
$19.99
738 reviews
Very Positive
FightingCompetitive
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Ultra Street Fighter® IV
2014
Est. copies
≈ 955k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
FightingArcade
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter

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