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How many copies did CHRONO TRIGGER® sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 413k–671k
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CHRONO TRIGGER® and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CHRONO TRIGGER®'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 619k–876k
best case 990k (FINAL FANTASY VII)
Games like CHRONO TRIGGER®

A typical game among these

≈ 619k–876k copies

≈ $3.4M–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: FINAL FANTASY VII at ≈ 754k–1.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Classic (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Classic, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Fantasy + JRPG + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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FINAL FANTASY VII
unreleased
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2.2x vs typical
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