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How many copies did Nights of Azure 2: Bride of the New Moon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$204k–$548k after Steam's cut $370k–$843k before Steam's cut
from 359 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nights of Azure 2: Bride of the New Moon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nights of Azure 2: Bride of the New Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.5M–9.6M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like Nights of Azure 2: Bride of the New Moon

A typical game among these

≈ 6.5M–9.6M copies

≈ $62.3M–$106.0M after Steam's cut

from ~205k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 792 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Living With Dragons
2024
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$12.99
34 reviews
Positive
ExplorationHack and Slash
骸亡禁决:Skeleton King
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before Steam's cut
$1.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
AdventureZombies
GUARDS!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$34k–$91k after Steam's cut $62k–$140k before Steam's cut
$9.99
498 reviews
Mixed
Online Co-OpCo-op
道衍诀
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$83k–$222k after Steam's cut $150k–$342k before Steam's cut
$11.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessStrategy RPG

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