How much revenue did Sword Art Online Re: Hollow Fragment make?

$365k–$980k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sword Art Online Re: Hollow Fragment sell?

Q: How many copies did Sword Art Online Re: Hollow Fragment sell?

66k to 108k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 66k–108k; $365k–$980k after Steam's cut $663k–$1.5M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sword Art Online Re: Hollow Fragment and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sword Art Online Re: Hollow Fragment's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.3M–30.6M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Sword Art Online Re: Hollow Fragment

A typical game among these

≈ 10.3M–30.6M copies

≈ $92.7M–$191.6M after Steam's cut

from ~401k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 33k to 469k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Hades 2020	Est. copies ≈ 7.7M–12.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	310k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival