How much revenue did 428: Shibuya Scramble make?

$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 428: Shibuya Scramble sell?

Q: How many copies did 428: Shibuya Scramble sell?

121k to 197k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 121k–197k; $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 428: Shibuya Scramble and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 428: Shibuya Scramble's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.0M

best case 2.9M (Persona 4 Golden)

Games like 428: Shibuya Scramble

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies

≈ $18.8M–$21.5M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 4 Golden at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 13k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
Everlasting Summer 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Life is Strange 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
The Wolf Among Us 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureDetective
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG