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How many copies did Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 142k–231k
$587k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 233k–380k
best case 437k (EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5)
Games like Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition

A typical game among these

≈ 233k–380k copies

≈ $3.4M–$5.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 at ≈ 333k–540k copies, ≈ $5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Co-op, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vanquish
2017
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
War Robots: Frontiers
2025
Est. copies
≈ 123k–199k
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayThird-Person Shooter
DAEMON X MACHINA
2020
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MechsAction
Lost Planet® 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 194k–315k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
ActionCo-op
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 333k–540k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOnline Co-Op
LOST PLANET® 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 248k–402k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Mixed
ActionThird-Person Shooter
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 439k–714k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
7k reviews
Mixed
ActionThird-Person Shooter

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