How much revenue did Fishing on the Fly make?

$750–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fishing on the Fly sell?

Q: How many copies did Fishing on the Fly sell?

273 to 443 copies, based on its 11 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 273–443; $750–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 11 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fishing on the Fly and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fishing on the Fly's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 829k–917k

best case 18.3M (Valheim)

Games like Fishing on the Fly

A typical game among these

≈ 829k–917k copies

≈ $7.9M–$11.0M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Life Sim (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Valheim at ≈ 13.9M–22.6M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 558k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Life Sim (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Fishing + Multiplayer + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Disney Dreamlight Valley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 617k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$28.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	25k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingLife Sim
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Valheim 2026	Est. copies ≈ 13.9M–22.6M 21x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	562k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dinkum 2025	Est. copies ≈ 725k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
Fishing Planet 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	FishingFree to Play
Russian Fishing 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	91k reviews Mixed	FishingMultiplayer
Sun Haven 2023	Est. copies ≈ 636k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	26k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Coral Island 2023	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimLife Sim