How much revenue did Breaking Good make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Breaking Good sell?

Q: How many copies did Breaking Good sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 162 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 162 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Breaking Good and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Breaking Good's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 596k–1.5M

best case 9.4M (Kerbal Space Program)

Games like Breaking Good

A typical game among these

≈ 596k–1.5M copies

≈ $4.0M–$19.8M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Kerbal Space Program at ≈ 7.2M–11.7M copies, ≈ $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 23k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
Moving Letters 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $311–$835 after Steam's cut $565–$1k before Steam's cut	$0.99	46 reviews Mixed	LogicWord Game
while True: learn() 2019	Est. copies ≈ 237k–386k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingSimulation
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace
SpaceEngine 2019	Est. copies ≈ 480k–779k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessOpen World
Cell to Singularity - Evolution Never Ends 2021	Est. copies ≈ 698k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Very Positive	ClickerFree to Play
Eco 2018	Est. copies ≈ 428k–696k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessSimulation
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY 2024	Est. copies ≈ 629k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	25k reviews Very Positive	MusicEducation