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How many copies did Killing Floor: Incursion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–60k
$202k–$543k after Steam's cut $367k–$835k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Killing Floor: Incursion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Killing Floor: Incursion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–5.2M
best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)
Games like Killing Floor: Incursion

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–5.2M copies

≈ $15.2M–$52.9M after Steam's cut

from ~66k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 68k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Trepang2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 489k–795k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSingleplayer
HITMAN World of Assassination
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pavlov
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
VRShooter

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