How much revenue did Project Genesis make?

Project Genesis is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Project Genesis sell?

Q: How many copies did Project Genesis sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 125 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; from 125 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Project Genesis and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Genesis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–10.5M

best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)

Games like Project Genesis

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–10.5M copies

≈ $35.2M–$136.4M after Steam's cut

from ~129k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 27k to 251k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (4 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut	$12.99	49k reviews Very Positive	DwarfAction Roguelike
Starbound 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.1M–$56.9M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	123k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28.9M–46.9M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.2M reviews Mostly Positive	Online Co-OpPvE
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut	$69.99	87k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Space Engineers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	135k reviews Very Positive	SpaceSandbox