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How many copies did TTV2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–88k
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TTV2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TTV2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 110k–130k
best case 2.1M (Super Hexagon)
Games like TTV2

A typical game among these

≈ 110k–130k copies

≈ $163k–$939k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Super Hexagon at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 926 reviews in their first month; the range was 792 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Fast-Paced (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fast-Paced, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Difficult + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Anger Foot
2024
Est. copies
≈ 102k–167k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$563k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
FPSFast-Paced
Super Hexagon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultGreat Soundtrack
Boson X
2014
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$122k–$327k after Steam's cut $221k–$503k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAction
Shatter
2010
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackIndie
HYPER DEMON
2022
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Thumper
2016
Est. copies
≈ 184k–299k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
Post Void
2020
Est. copies
≈ 308k–500k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$253k–$680k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSPsychedelic
Geometry Wars: Retro Evolved
2007
Est. copies
≈ 70k–115k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$77k–$208k after Steam's cut $141k–$320k before Steam's cut
$3.99
1k reviews
Very Positive

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