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How many copies did Mundaun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–61k
$206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$854k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mundaun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mundaun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 224k (Neverending Nightmares)
Games like Mundaun

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $5k–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~45 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Neverending Nightmares at ≈ 171k–277k copies, ≈ $703k–$1.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 341.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Psychological Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Horror, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Subway Midnight
2021
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$91k–$243k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Neverending Nightmares
2014
Est. copies
≈ 171k–277k
68x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$703k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
The Guilt and the Shadow
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $13k–$28k before Steam's cut
$8.99
57 reviews
Mostly Positive
DarkStory Rich
Shiki
2019
Est. copies
≈ 806–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28 reviews
Positive
2D Platformer3D Platformer
The ER: Patient Typhon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$7.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
Bad Dream: Purgatory
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$9.99
45 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureHand-drawn
ghostpia Season One
2023
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$135k–$362k after Steam's cut $245k–$557k before Steam's cut
$19.99
987 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerHorror
MDNE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
38 reviews
Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.