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How many copies did L.A. Noire: The VR Case Files sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 40k–65k
$332k–$892k after Steam's cut $604k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid L.A. Noire: The VR Case Files and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including L.A. Noire: The VR Case Files's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 811k–5.7M
best case 10.3M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like L.A. Noire: The VR Case Files

A typical game among these

≈ 811k–5.7M copies

≈ $11.2M–$51.5M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies, ≈ $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Batman™: Arkham Origins
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.8M–$61.3M after Steam's cut $41.5M–$94.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.3M after Steam's cut $49.6M–$112.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Fallout 4 VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 302k–490k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
9k reviews
Mixed
VROpen World
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
X-Plane 11
2017
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut $10.5M–$23.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim VR
2018
Est. copies
≈ 375k–610k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
73k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight

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