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How big is Exoblast?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 8k–13k
from 316 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Exoblast and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Exoblast's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.4M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Exoblast

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.4M copies

≈ $8.8M–$19.4M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (4 of 8) and Fast-Paced (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Violent + Top-Down, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Violent + Gore; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dome Keeper
2022
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
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SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Hotline Miami
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.2M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut
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128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackViolent
Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove
2014
Est. copies
≈ 948k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PlatformerPixel Graphics
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore
Sonic Mania
2017
Est. copies
≈ 995k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great Soundtrack2D

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