How much revenue did Wytchwood make?

$659k–$1.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wytchwood sell?

Q: How many copies did Wytchwood sell?

120k to 195k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 120k–195k; $659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wytchwood and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wytchwood's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.6M

best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)

Games like Wytchwood

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–5.6M copies

≈ $18.3M–$42.9M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 45k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Disney Dreamlight Valley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 617k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$28.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	25k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingLife Sim
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	86k reviews Very Positive	MMORPGRPG
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Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	54k reviews Very Positive	EmotionalStory Rich
The Planet Crafter 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$23.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftBase-Building