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How many copies did Squad 44 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 773k–1.3M
$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
from 25k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Squad 44 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Squad 44's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–6.3M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Squad 44

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–6.3M copies

≈ $13.2M–$59.3M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Flight + Vehicular Combat + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Red Orchestra 2: Heroes of Stalingrad with Rising Storm
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIRealistic
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic
Hand Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
World of Tanks Blitz
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
Enlisted
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
FPSWorld War II

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.