How much revenue did Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator make?

$9k–$25k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator sell?

Q: How many copies did Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 136 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut; from 136 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–1.4M

best case 1.6M (Volcano Princess)

Games like Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 433k–1.4M copies

≈ $5.3M–$11.8M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Volcano Princess at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 14k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Life Sim + Multiple Endings, priced around $11.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Unpacking 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	41k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingCute
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings
House Party 2022	Est. copies ≈ 383k–623k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	NudityMature
Nobody - The Turnaround 2022	Est. copies ≈ 355k–576k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Mixed	Early AccessLife Sim
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
Walking Simulator 2020	Est. copies ≈ 235k–381k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayWalking Simulator
Disney Dreamlight Valley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 617k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$28.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	25k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingLife Sim
小白兔电商~Bunny e-Shop 2021	Est. copies ≈ 254k–413k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $768k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$10.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CapitalismVisual Novel