How much revenue did Ark Noir make?

$4k–$11k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ark Noir sell?

Q: How many copies did Ark Noir sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 49 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut; from 49 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ark Noir and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ark Noir's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–3.8M

best case 10.3M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)

Games like Ark Noir

A typical game among these

≈ 28k–3.8M copies

≈ $80k–$28.2M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 14k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Dating Sim (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
We. The Revolution 2019	Est. copies ≈ 72k–116k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $394k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $716k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	HistoricalChoices Matter
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 7.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
VED 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut	$19.99	78 reviews Mostly Positive	RPGStory Rich
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
Coldage 2022	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $858–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$13.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	Post-apocalypticHand-drawn
Pastelia Stories 2017	Est. copies ≈ 28k–45k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $76k–$203k after Steam's cut $137k–$313k before Steam's cut	$9.99	800 reviews Mixed	RPGStrategy